Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.032220 0.035378 0.038585 0.042080 0.045774 0.049556 0.053715
2025-08-31 0.027572 0.032283 0.037260 0.042880 0.049025 0.055512 0.062852
2025-09-07 0.023909 0.029822 0.036308 0.043880 0.052411 0.061658 0.072378
2025-09-14 0.020571 0.027366 0.035105 0.044433 0.055237 0.067235 0.081440
2025-09-21 0.017878 0.025362 0.034203 0.045184 0.058231 0.073030 0.090878
2025-09-28 0.015960 0.024073 0.033993 0.046651 0.062030 0.079795 0.101553
2025-10-05 0.013208 0.021429 0.031887 0.045644 0.062770 0.082940 0.108049
2025-10-12 0.011264 0.019613 0.030640 0.045553 0.064523 0.087245 0.115924
2025-10-19 0.009926 0.018466 0.030141 0.046320 0.067289 0.092765 0.125294
2025-10-26 0.008499 0.017011 0.029090 0.046263 0.068948 0.096908 0.133018
2025-11-02 0.006784 0.014888 0.026922 0.044557 0.068367 0.098192 0.137201
2025-11-09 0.005698 0.013603 0.025822 0.044196 0.069459 0.101526 0.143897
2025-11-16 0.004636 0.012234 0.024539 0.043580 0.070285 0.104662 0.150578
2025-11-23 0.004036 0.011596 0.024314 0.044450 0.073124 0.110434 0.160674
2025-11-30 0.003543 0.011079 0.024233 0.045509 0.076237 0.116611 0.171375
2025-12-07 0.003027 0.010420 0.023861 0.046100 0.078696 0.121959 0.181080
2025-12-14 0.002609 0.009884 0.023640 0.046888 0.081428 0.127690 0.191334
2025-12-21 0.002345 0.009642 0.023896 0.048404 0.085206 0.134853 0.203511
2025-12-28 0.001795 0.008571 0.022582 0.047382 0.085293 0.137038 0.209207
2026-01-04 0.001440 0.007885 0.021892 0.047295 0.086699 0.140993 0.217233
2026-01-11 0.001221 0.007516 0.021757 0.048086 0.089387 0.146709 0.227615
2026-01-18 0.000964 0.006930 0.021138 0.048030 0.090794 0.150661 0.235677
2026-01-25 0.000641 0.005938 0.019575 0.046285 0.089584 0.150940 0.238808